RB
RBB Bancorp (RBB)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 EPS of $0.13 missed S&P Global consensus of $0.38 due to a $6.7M provision for credit losses taken to accelerate the resolution of nonperforming loans; net income was $2.3M versus $4.4M in Q4 2024 . Revenue (S&P Global definition) was $21.7M vs consensus $28.9M, a significant miss as well (see Estimates Context) *.
- Asset quality actions were tangible: nonperforming assets fell 20% QoQ to $64.6M (1.61% of assets), and the allowance coverage of NPLs rose to 86% from 68% in Q4 .
- Core profitability drivers improved: net interest margin expanded 12 bps QoQ to 2.88% on a 29 bps decline in interest‑bearing deposit costs; loan originations were $201M at a 6.77% yield and loans HFI grew 12% annualized .
- Capital return catalyst: management indicated it was working to implement a buyback on the call, and on May 29 authorized up to $18M in repurchases through June 30, 2026, a potential stock support near term .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Accelerated de-risking: “We reduced our net exposure to nonperforming loans to $51 million…or 32% since year end” (CEO) .
- Margin traction: NIM rose to 2.88% (+12 bps QoQ) on lower deposit costs; spot deposit rate exited at 3.06%, below the 3.13% quarterly average (CFO) .
- Loan growth resumed: $201M of Q1 production at 6.77% blended yield; pipelines remain healthy though growth likely moderates (President) .
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What Went Wrong
- Earnings under pressure from credit costs: $6.7M provision (vs $6.0M in Q4) tied to specific reserves and charge-offs; EPS fell to $0.13 from $0.25 in Q4 .
- Higher operating expenses: noninterest expense increased $0.9M QoQ to $18.5M on seasonally higher comp/benefits and data processing; efficiency ratio rose to 65.1% .
- Deposit mix drift: noninterest-bearing deposits declined to 16.8% of total (from 18.3% in Q4) amid migration into higher-yielding products .
Financial Results
P&L snapshot (USD millions, except per-share)
Margins and efficiency
Balance sheet and credit KPIs
Loan portfolio mix (dollars in millions)
Notes: Noninterest-bearing deposits were 16.8% of total at 3/31/2025 vs 18.3% at 12/31/2024 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We took decisive action to address our nonperforming loans…We reduced our net exposure to nonperforming loans to $51 million…or 32% since year end” — David Morris, CEO .
- “Loan production was relatively strong…$201 million…at blended yield of 6.77%…we anticipate loan growth to continue in the second quarter, albeit likely at a more moderate pace” — Johnny Lee, President & Bank CEO .
- “Our spot rate on deposits on March 31 was 3.06%…below the average of 3.13%…so costs are likely to continue to decrease but at a more measured pace” — Lynn Hopkins, CFO .
- “We are working hard to put a buyback in place and hope to have more to report…soon” — Lynn Hopkins, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital return: Management confirmed a strong preference to deploy excess capital via buybacks; subsequently authorized a new $18M repurchase plan (post‑quarter) .
- NIM dynamics: FHLB advance repricing fully reflected in March NIM; management still expects incremental funding cost relief; nonaccruals remain a drag until resolutions return balances to accrual status (CFO) .
- Credit tactics: Open to opportunistic problem loan sales; believe reserves are adequate for remaining actions (Mgmt) .
- Macro trade/tariffs: Outreach to top 10 customers found no current financial impact; trade finance exposure ~4% of loans .
- Expenses: Expect OpEx to look more like 2H24 vs 1H24; targeted run‑rate ~$17.5–$18.0M with puts/takes (CFO) .
Estimates Context
Consensus vs actual (S&P Global; Q1 2025)
Additional context: 5 EPS estimates; 4 revenue estimates. Target price consensus $21.4 (5 est.)* [GetEstimates]. Note: S&P Global’s “Revenue” for banks may differ from company NII/noninterest income presentation; we use S&P’s figures for estimate comparisons.*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core spread improvement is intact (NIM +12 bps QoQ) with further modest funding cost relief expected; near‑term EPS trajectory hinges on the cadence of credit cost normalization .
- Asset quality risk is being actively addressed: NPAs down 20% QoQ and coverage up to 86%; management targets substantial progress by 2H 2025, though quarterly lumpiness remains likely — a key medium‑term de‑risking catalyst .
- Loan growth is back, but management signaled moderation; originations at attractive ~6.8% yields support NII if credit costs abate .
- Deposit mix drifted away from NIB; continued focus on C&I franchise building could help over time, but near‑term funding remains rate‑sensitive .
- Capital deployment is turning more shareholder‑friendly (buyback authorized), supporting the stock while the credit clean‑up completes .
- Near‑term: trading may focus on credit headlines (NPL resolutions/sales) and NIM trajectory; medium‑term: improved asset quality plus buybacks can re‑rate earnings power if provisions recede and expenses normalize .
Appendices
Deposit and funding details (Q1 2025)
- Average cost of interest‑bearing deposits fell 29 bps QoQ to 3.77%; total cost of funds 3.15% (–17 bps QoQ). Spot total deposit rate was 3.06% at March 31 .
- FHLB: $150M of 1.18% advances matured; replaced largely by $110M at ~3.88%; most new advances are putable with 3–7 year final maturities and near‑term FHLB call options (CFO) .
Credit resolution actions (Q1 2025)
- Bulk sale of $10.8M underperforming SFR mortgages ($1.4M charge‑off); $8.8M loan moved to OREO and sold ($1.2M charge‑off) .
- One $5.3M NY CRE loan moved to nonaccrual after a tenant exit; management expects resolution without principal loss given an 85% LTV appraisal and sale process underway (CEO) .
Dividend
- Declared $0.16 per common share, payable May 12, 2025 to holders of record April 30, 2025 .